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Failed Russian Mars Probe Phobos-Grunt reentry… The doomed Russian spacecraft is expected to (More) The doomed Russian spacecraft is expected to re-enter next Sunday
When the German ROSATsatellite fell from the sky back in October--right on the heels of NASA's UARS satellite, which came crashing down in September--we were told that we wouldn't have to worry about any more falling satellites for awhile. Then, Russia launched Phobos-Grunt, and suddenly your carefree days of not worrying about high-speed orbital debris speeding through the atmosphere and slamming into random places across the planet were over. The doomed Russian Mars probe is coming down, probably next Sunday.
Phobos-Grunt, as you may recall, was launched into Earth orbit in November, from which point it was supposed to fire its auxiliary engines and set a course for Mars. That never happened, and the orbit of the crippled spacecraft has been decaying ever since as Russian mission handlers have scrambled in vain to save it. With hope of recovery gone, Russian space authorities have now named January 15th as the likely re-entry date for Phobos-Grunt.
As with UARS and ROSAT, much of Phobos-Grunt will burn up in the atmosphere. And like its recent predecessors, some of it will not. Twenty to 30 pieces of Phobos-Grunt will likely survive re-entry and actually reach the surface. That could happen virtually anywhere between 51 degrees north and 51 degrees south latitude.
That's a lot of territory. But take heart: much of it is water, and during the last two re-entry events no one was hurt, or even close to being hurt. Your chances of meeting your demise as Phobos-Grunt meets its demise are extremely slim. (Less)
Phobos-Grunt mission, animated sequence January 15, 2012
A failed Russian space probe that (More) January 15, 2012
A failed Russian space probe that was to have traveled to one of the moons of Mars returned to Earth on Sunday, landing in the
Pacific Ocean and covering the southern coast of Chile with debris, various media outlets have reported.
"Phobos-Grunt fragments have crashed down in the Pacific Ocean," the RIA-Novosti news service quoted Alexei Zolotukhin, a
spokesman for Russia's aerospace defense forces, as saying.
MSNBC said that the debris zone was believed to be 775 miles -- or 1,250 kilometers -- west of Wellington Island in the South Pacific,
and officials estimate that the re-entry occurred at approximately 12:45 Eastern time, citing information received by the Russian
federal space agency (Roscosmos).
However, according to the Associated Press (AP), the RIA Novosti news agency, citing Russian ballistic experts, reported Sunday that
the fragments actually fell over a broader patch of the planet's surface, "spreading from the Atlantic and including the territory of
Brazil."
The crash zone's midpoint, according to those reports, "was located in the Brazilian state of Goias."
The Phobos-Grunt probe was to travel to the Martian moon of Phobos, where it would land, collect soil samples, and return them to
Earth sometime in 2014. The AP called it "one of the most daunting interplanetary missions ever," as well as one of the "most
expensive and the most ambitious" Russian space missions in recent years.
However, the spacecraft got stranded in Earth's orbit shortly after its November 9 launch, when its boosters failed to properly ignite.
Multiple attempts to re-fire the satellite by both Roscosmos and European Space Agency (ESA) personnel failed, and ultimately ground
control members completely lost contact with the 13.5 ton, $165 million dollar probe.
According to MSNBC.com, Russian officials had predicted that just 20 to 30 total fragments of Phobos-Grunt, weighing a combined
440 pounds, would survive the re-entry process. Despite initial concerns that the toxic fuel onboard the vehicle would have become
frozen and survive Earth's atmosphere, it too was predicted to explode during re-entry, avoiding a possible environmental disaster.
Early last week, Roscosmos chief Vladimir Popovkin told reporters that the failure of the Phobos-Grunt launch and other Russian
satellite failures over the past year may have been the result of sabotage by foreign countries, perhaps even the United States.
"I wouldn't like to accuse anyone, but today there exists powerful means to influence spacecraft, and their use can't be excluded,"
Popovkin said in an interview with Izvestia daily, adding that it was not clear why several launches experienced problems at the
precise instant that they began travelling through areas invisible to Russian radar.
"It is unclear why our setbacks often occur when the vessels are travelling through what for Russia is the 'dark' side of the Earth — in
areas where we do not see the craft and do not receive its telemetry readings," he continued, acknowledging that the Phobos-Grunt
mission was also risky because it involved a project that was underfunded and whose design dated back several years.
"If we did not manage to launch it in the window open in 2011 for a Mars mission, we would have had to simply throw it away, writing
off a loss of five billion rubles ($160 million)," Popovkin, who took over as the head of Roscosmos in April, added.
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